Interesting as high soccer in CT is full contact lol .. they must be watching Barcelona if they think it is not! Are they going to make kids stand six feet apart or wear masks when lined up for kicks? Are they going to mandate no contact going in for 50 50 or tackling? How about the goalies who need to yell at team? Nothing logical about high level vs mid level at all !
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CIAC will pause all fall sports activities until Aug 24
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Originally posted by Unregistered View PostInteresting as high soccer in CT is full contact lol .. they must be watching Barcelona if they think it is not! Are they going to make kids stand six feet apart or wear masks when lined up for kicks? Are they going to mandate no contact going in for 50 50 or tackling? How about the goalies who need to yell at team? Nothing logical about high level vs mid level at all !
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Originally posted by Unregistered View PostWith no chance of football now with this be the end of all sports in the fall. The largest contingent of voices to encourage sports in the fall has always been football. Losing this support other sports are now in serious jeapordy.
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Originally posted by Unregistered View PostNot really. The DPH has been quite clear from the start, they didn’t support football or girls vollleyball as they are deemed high risk. DPH has had no issues with any other fall sport.
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Originally posted by Unregistered View PostFrom the press release:
Without DPH support, the CIAC cannot move forward with a full contact season as it would place superintendents and boards of education in the impossible position of acting against the recommendation of a state agency. The CIAC, in alignment with DPH guidance, will now work with its dedicated athletic directors and football coaches to provide football players with the best low and moderate risk experiences possible.
https://www.casciac.org/pdfs/ciac09042020.pdf
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Key model predicts 410,000 US Covid-19 deaths by January
A model often cited by top health officials dramatically raised its projections for US Covid-19 deaths Friday morning, predicting over 410,000 deaths by January 1 -- which would mean another 224,000 Americans lost in just the next four months.
The model from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation points to declining mask use in some regions from a peak in usage in early August. The scenarios in the model suggest 122,000 of those lives could be saved with near-universal mask use. Conversely, the model warns the death toll could be much higher -- over 620,000 -- if all restrictions are eased.
“If a herd immunity strategy is pursued, meaning no further government intervention is taken from now to Jan 1st, the death toll could increase to 620,000," according to IHME’s briefing.
IHME expects the death rate to reach an unprecedented 3,000 a day by December, due in part to “declining vigilance of the public.”
The IHME model, which is more aggressive in its predictions than others, comes a day after a new CDC ensemble forecast predicted 211,000 US deaths from Covid-19 by September 26.
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More young people are getting infected with the coronavirus at higher numbers. Experts fear that will only grow as many colleges and schools reopen.
In August alone, for example, nearly 7,000 people between ages 18-24 tested positive for Covid-19 in Missouri, Gov. Mike Parson said. About 30% of the new cases in the state are among that age group.
"While young, healthy people are likely to have mild symptoms and quick recoveries ... they may unknowingly carry Covid-19 to someone older or with underlying conditions, who is unable to fight off the virus. This is why it is so important for young people to take precautions and understand the responsibility," Parson said.
While more young people continue to test positive, the vast majority of them have not required hospitalization.
Dr. Anthony Fauci says designating quarantine spaces for students who test positive for Covid-19 is key to safely opening colleges
"I know there is a lot of concern right now regarding college students. But I want to assure you that our colleges, and our universities, have plans in place and are taking all steps necessary to keep their students and communities as safe as possible," Parson said.
College campuses in at least 40 states have seen outbreaks of the virus, and officials are urging caution heading into the holiday weekend.
"I understand many will probably not be going home since they just got on campus. So they'll be around and they'll have some free time," Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson said. "You've got to be cautious over this weekend."
Over 200 of the 969 new cases reported in the state are from Washington County, home to the University of Arkansas, he said. In the county, four out of every five positive tests were among people between the ages of 18 and 24.
Dr. Anthony Fauci pointed out measures that colleges and universities should take to open successfully.
Colleges should only consider reopening if they have several protocols in place, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases told CNN by phone. They include testing every student, surveillance testing at various intervals and readily available quarantine spaces.
"They've got to have the capability of doing the testing to begin with," said Fauci, who emphasized testing upon arrival. "They've got to have the capability of doing surveillance testing as you get into the school year, and they have to have a plan of how they handle the inevitability of some students who are going to wind up getting affected."
It would be unrealistic to assume that there are no Covid-19 cases on campus, he said, noting that planning should include designated specific quarantine spaces for students who contract the virus.
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^ UNC was unprepared for a key part of that - they didn't set aside enough places to quarantine positive students.
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Originally posted by Unregistered View PostInteresting as high soccer in CT is full contact lol .. they must be watching Barcelona if they think it is not! Are they going to make kids stand six feet apart or wear masks when lined up for kicks? Are they going to mandate no contact going in for 50 50 or tackling? How about the goalies who need to yell at team? Nothing logical about high level vs mid level at all !
Other indoor sports are good now too with a mask like volleyball.
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Originally posted by Unregistered View PostKey model predicts 410,000 US Covid-19 deaths by January
A model often cited by top health officials dramatically raised its projections for US Covid-19 deaths Friday morning, predicting over 410,000 deaths by January 1 -- which would mean another 224,000 Americans lost in just the next four months.
The model from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation points to declining mask use in some regions from a peak in usage in early August. The scenarios in the model suggest 122,000 of those lives could be saved with near-universal mask use. Conversely, the model warns the death toll could be much higher -- over 620,000 -- if all restrictions are eased.
“If a herd immunity strategy is pursued, meaning no further government intervention is taken from now to Jan 1st, the death toll could increase to 620,000," according to IHME’s briefing.
IHME expects the death rate to reach an unprecedented 3,000 a day by December, due in part to “declining vigilance of the public.”
The IHME model, which is more aggressive in its predictions than others, comes a day after a new CDC ensemble forecast predicted 211,000 US deaths from Covid-19 by September 26.
Why would I believe anything they put out now?
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Originally posted by Unregistered View PostIHME has been very very wrong the whole time.
Why would I believe anything they put out now?
410k by January ignores all current evidence and trends. Deaths are decreasing and have a long tail ahead.
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Originally posted by Unregistered View PostIHME has been very very wrong the whole time.
Why would I believe anything they put out now?
The unknowns are what the fall brings in terms of what impact schools re-opening has, northern states being indoors with cold weather, and people getting complacent. Seventy five percent of the new outbreaks are red states with not so strict mask rules. The WH task force issued a statement that Missouri should have a mask rule due a sharp increase in cases.
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Originally posted by Unregistered View PostWe're at 188K dead now and it's Sept 4th. 211K by Oct 1 seems very likely - just under 1000 a day which is about what we've been averaging. Fauci had said similar back in May - 200K by Oct 1.
The unknowns are what the fall brings in terms of what impact schools re-opening has, northern states being indoors with cold weather, and people getting complacent. Seventy five percent of the new outbreaks are red states with not so strict mask rules. The WH task force issued a statement that Missouri should have a mask rule due a sharp increase in cases.
That is wrong.
Excess deaths this year is 220k
54,000 From
114,000 With
52,000 Lockdown
220,000 total
Lockdown deaths are growing faster then the with & from numbers
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