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New England and National D1 Womens Soccer (only please)

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    Originally posted by Unregistered View Post
    If the Eagle take care of business in the ACC they will still be soaring high in clear skies come tourney time! Fly like an Eagle.
    Their shot at a 1 seed has flown the coup. Even if they run the table, they will need too many of the teams at the top of the RPI table to lose too many games.

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      Cages can't enslave wily predators. Our ferocious feathered friends will escape to inimitable, endless glory. Fly like an Eagle!

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        Tough weekend for our New England teams. Where are we? Well, BC's loss to a decent (but not great) Pepperdine team basically ends their chances at a top 4 seed. With FSU, Duke, UNC and Maryland left on their schedule they can still technically (and mathematically) get into the Top 8 but based on what we have seen of the Eagles this year; does anyone not directly associated with the program legitimately believe that they will emerge with more than a win and a tie from those games? What is emerging on Chestnut Hill is a lot more of what we saw last year. They are a Top 20 side, but not a National quarter finalist and definitely not a Final Four team. Dartmouth has Pepperdine next, and that NL game (and a future game with BU) pus a top 60 RPI mean the Big Green are the only other NE team with any real chance at an at-large bid. So tomorrow is the day for Dartmouth, win and their chances durvive - lose and they must win the Ivy!!

        The rest all ended their outside chances at an at-large berth. BU continues to dominate the AE (although notice that the scores are closer) but lose RPI points because the competition is weak. Hartford and Stony Brook are on the upcoming docket and my guess that one of them will finally blemish BU in-conference, but even if they don't. its over for the Terriers. U Mass getting crushed by Dayton ends their chances. They are still at a respectable 75 in the RPI (not bad for a 6-6 record) but a weak league schedule means that even if the Minutewomen win out and get to the A-10 Finals, they will get to the bubble but miss out. U Conn's 4-0 loss to ND is a bad blow because it was a blow-out. Arguably the Huskies still have enough RPI value in the rest of the regular season, and via a long rin in the BE Tourney, but does anyone outside Storrs believe they won't lose a few more games? Lose to Marquette (and probably SFU) and absent a Big East title... they are done.

        As expected, the other Ivies have slipped badly. Harvard's tie with a sub 200 C Conn side kills them and Brown is now under 100 in the RPI. This is not good for Dartmouth who will face plenty of parity (and deperation) in the regular Ivy League schedule! Providence has come to earth after a bright start. Their hope has always been to get to the Big East Tournament and become a huge Cinderella. They have kept it close with ND and G-Town, but beating two or three more talented sides in the BE tourney is an almost impossible task for the Friars. Maine retains some hope in the AE, although I don't think they can beat both Hartford and SB in the tourney. Quinnipiac and Bryant retain punchers' chances in the NEC. Monmouth and St. Francis are the favorites, but there is enough parity in that league to like the local entries come November!

        I guess that the New England Big Six (BC, BU, U Conn, Harvard, Northeastern and U Mass) have all been relative disapointments. BC is at 13 in the RPI and near the top of the ACC, but they have yet to beat a top 20 team and you get the feeling that the Eagles are again very good, but not quite a legitimate national contender. The rest have all severely underperformed. BU, U Mass and NU all have played monster NL slates - and lost to every top team on their schedules - but its the other falls (to lesser sides) that killed their AL chances. Harvard's tie to Central is their downfall and U Conn just hasn't found a way to beat any6 of the better teams on their schedule... such a bright start against UCLA has dimmed!!

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          Inimitable and endless...you gotta be kidding? Right?

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            UConn outplayed ND in the first half today, out shooting them 11-3. They tired, gave up a soft foul and direct kick right before the half and never recovered. UConn lacks the depth, particularly at defense and goalie, to win the Big East or deserve an NCAA bid, although they're still the second best team in New England behind the high flyin' Eagles.

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              Originally posted by Unregistered View Post
              UConn outplayed ND in the first half today, out shooting them 11-3. They tired, gave up a soft foul and direct kick right before the half and never recovered. UConn lacks the depth, particularly at defense and goalie, to win the Big East or deserve an NCAA bid, although they're still the second best team in New England behind the high flyin' Eagles.
              I saw the first half up to the goal and agree completely that UConn dominated. However, they were using so much energy I was not completely surprised to see they collapsed as there was no way they could keep it up.

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                I didn't see the game, but read the stats and team write ups. Having seen UConn earlier in the season, their weaknesses were evident, especially the lack of cohesive team play, especially defensively.

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                  More D1 Action

                  Fairfield with a nice win over Loyola 2-1 yesterday. A win Friday over Rider 1-0 has them 2-0-0 in MAAC play. Providence game cancelled yesterday due to inclement weather. They play DePaul today at noon.

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                    Originally posted by Unregistered View Post
                    Fairfield with a nice win over Loyola 2-1 yesterday. A win Friday over Rider 1-0 has them 2-0-0 in MAAC play. Providence game cancelled yesterday due to inclement weather. They play DePaul today at noon.
                    In season, the showdown in two Friday's with Marist will be the critical game for Fairfield. Any of the top six teams in the MAAC have a great chance to get the League's auto-bid via their play-offs. It is normally in these second tier leagues that you see the best chances for a lower seed to advance in the Conference, in part because there is greater parity, so anything can happen in the MAAC, but Fairfield is in a nice spot right now

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                      What is Pepperdine's current RPI ranking?

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                        Originally posted by Unregistered View Post
                        What is Pepperdine's current RPI ranking?
                        Pepperdine is currently at 28, BC is at 12. However, with a few more games today than usual, those numbers could change slightly by the time the NCAA releases the official rankings on Wed. BC has one "quality" win this year. That is the victory at Virginia Tech. They really need to beat at least one of their three top remaining opponents (Duke, UNC and FSU) and beat both of the next level (Maryland and Virginia) to have any chance at a Top 16 seed. Win 4 of 5 and maybe they get near the Top 8! Most math analysis indicates that the nature of the ACC Tourney (zero sum, you beat teams that lose points because they lose to you) means the Tourney does little for the Top four teams' RPI - plus or minus. So, it is crunch time for the Eagles!!!

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                          Dartmouth loses in OT to Pepperdine.

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                            Now BC enters the serious part of its ACC schedule. I'm predicting 1-4 in its next five games.

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                              Originally posted by Unregistered View Post
                              Now BC enters the serious part of its ACC schedule. I'm predicting 1-4 in its next five games.
                              Guess you're predicting that Eagle kick and run won't get it done?

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                                You doubters, haters, and jealous wannabes are so predictable. Your puny sparrows will be flying south while the indomitable Eagles brave late Fall's chill winds, preparing for ACC and NCAA glory. Fly like an Eagle!

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