Originally posted by Unregistered
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Here is why I don’t think they will.
EVERYWHERE the virus has been, once it begins to spread, it does so for about 6 weeks, then it peaks and drops.
It was not grown exponentially ANYWHERE.
This is our “2nd wave” so in theory, we have less people to be susceptible to bad outcomes plus we already had widespread community spread in the spring.
We did not have adequate testing to know how severe.
In my estimation, we hit about 11-12%!if the population in the spring.
We will hit around 8% this go round.
Even with the high number of test now, we likely only find 1 in 6.
After this wave, we will have a steady drip of positives for a long time. It will be like we saw over the summer.
This wave will take 8 weeks to drop. End of Jan we will be back to lie numbers till next fall.
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